預(yù)計下周無錫方管市場走強整理震蕩平淡

本周(8.27-8.31)無錫市場方管4寸主流報價持平。監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)顯示：截止8月24日，無錫市場唐山京華新國標(biāo)產(chǎn)6分 (2.5mm)方管主流報價4860元(噸價，下同)，4寸(3.75mm)方管報價4700元，6寸(4mm)方管主流報價4900元。成本方面，周內(nèi)行情震蕩平淡，管市上漲和下跌受交投影響表現(xiàn)被動，不過原料方坯即使有小幅回撤也多在3950強力支撐線上；周后期逐步出現(xiàn)偏強試探，在期貨 盤面與成本相互帶動，同時原料帶鋼部分地區(qū)出現(xiàn)賣期貨現(xiàn)象，河北地區(qū)管廠焊鍍管價格政策累計上調(diào)30-50元不等。截至目前，坯料部分出廠價格4030 元；唐山瑞豐355mm系列帶鋼出廠報價4250；唐山友發(fā)新國標(biāo)產(chǎn)4寸(3.75mm)方管報4480元，較上周累計上調(diào)40元。

This week (8.27-8.31) the 4 inch mainstream quotation of Wuxi market is flat. Monitoring data show that as of August 24, Wuxi market Tangshan Jinghua 6 points (2.5mm) square tube mainstream quotation 4860 yuan (tonnage, the same below), 4 inches (3.75mm) square tube quotation 4700 yuan, 6 inches (4mm) square tube mainstream quotation 4900 yuan. In terms of cost, the market shocks were flat during the week, and the rise and fall of the management market were passive by Symphonic projection, but even if there was a small withdrawal of raw billets, they were mostly on the strong support line of 3950; in the late week, a strong test gradually appeared, driving each other in futures and cost, while some areas of raw material strip steel sold futures. North area pipe factory welding and plating pipe price policy has risen by 30-50 yuan. Up to now, the billet part of the factory price of 4030 yuan; Tangshan Ruifeng 355mm series strip factory quotation 4250; Tangshan Youfa new national standard production 4 inches (3.75mm) square tube reported 4480 yuan, up 40 yuan from last week.

市場方面，周初從之前一直炒作的環(huán)保限產(chǎn)文件終于發(fā)布，不過竟現(xiàn)烏龍事件，使鋼廠、市場均表現(xiàn)抗性觀望，價格在博弈中持續(xù)震蕩，不過后續(xù)山西、江蘇發(fā)布環(huán)保限 產(chǎn)，唐山環(huán)保限產(chǎn)文件再發(fā)聲明，同時對恢復(fù)高爐鋼企表明態(tài)度，最終使反彈勢頭徹底被確立，而今周五期螺在持續(xù)拉升尾盤走出橫盤回落，給下周留出一定懸念， 不過鋼價漲勢得到認可。成交方面，無錫地區(qū)周內(nèi)市場始終不溫不火，交投熱度均低，觀望情緒濃厚；現(xiàn)心態(tài)逐步好轉(zhuǎn)，低價資源消失，市場氛圍尚可，不過也沒有 出現(xiàn)爆發(fā)的情況，供需基本表現(xiàn)平衡。庫存方面，今周五在統(tǒng)計上游部分管廠原料帶鋼庫存續(xù)增約0.38%，部分管廠規(guī)格不全；另無錫地區(qū)周內(nèi)不完全統(tǒng)計焊鍍 管資源周比減約0.85%。

On the market side, the environmental protection production restriction documents which had been hyped since early Zhou Dynasty were finally released, but the Oolong Incident made the steel mills and the market show resistance and wait-and-see. Prices continued to oscillate in the game. However, Shanxi and Jiangsu subsequently issued the environmental protection production restriction documents, Tangshan environmental protection production restriction documents issued a statement again, while restoring the list of blast furnace steel enterprises. Clearly, the rebound momentum was eventually fully established, and this Friday the snail continued to pull up the tail out of the sideways decline, leaving some suspense for next week, but the steel price rally was recognized. In terms of transaction, the market in Wuxi has remained tepid throughout the week, with low trading enthusiasm and strong wait-and-see mood; the mentality has gradually improved, low-cost resources have disappeared, and the market atmosphere is still acceptable, but there has been no outbreak, and supply and demand have basically balanced. Inventory, this Friday in the statistics of the upstream part of the pipe mill raw material strip stocks increased by about 0.38%, some pipe mill specifications are incomplete; in addition, Wuxi area week incomplete statistics of welded pipe resource weekly ratio reduced by about 0.85%.

綜合來看，周后期期貨的強勢上漲對現(xiàn)貨價格形成較強的助推力，不過價格休整階段實質(zhì)下滑有限，在不穩(wěn)定因素及期貨走勢變動出現(xiàn)，下游需求頓時熄火，因此下游的補庫需求將會是鋼價重拾升勢的有力推手，下周成為關(guān)鍵。預(yù)計下周無錫方管市場走強整理。

Generally speaking, the strong rise of futures in the late Zhou Dynasty has a strong boost to the spot price, but the real decline in the price restitution phase is limited. The unstable factors and futures trend changes appear, and the downstream demand immediately stalls. Therefore, the downstream replenishment demand will be a powerful pusher for steel prices to regain the upward trend, and next week will be the key. . Next week is expected to strengthen the Wuxi local management market.

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