本周(10.15-10.19)國內(nèi)焊管價格小幅趨弱,截至10月19日,國內(nèi)十大重點城市4寸焊管均價為 4656元(噸價,下同),比上周同期焊管價格上漲1元,其中中心城市天津漲10元、沈陽漲50元、成都降50元,其他各中心城市普遍報穩(wěn),個別小幅暗降。
This week (10.15-10.19), the domestic welded pipe price weakened slightly. As of October 19, the average price of 4-inch welded pipe in ten major cities in China was 4,656 yuan (tonnage price, the same below), 1 yuan higher than the same period last week. The price of welded pipe in Tianjin, Shenyang and Chengdu increased by 10 yuan, 50 yuan lower than that in the same period last week. A dark fall.
本周唐山鋼坯價格先揚后抑,目前唐山鋼坯出廠報價3920元,比上周同期漲40元。周內(nèi)唐山鋼坯累漲40,集中在周初、中期上漲70,周后期開始回調(diào)累計40,商家心態(tài)普遍向好,但市場成交不溫不火,操作整體出貨為主。下周鋼坯或盤整為主。
The price of Tangshan billet rose first and then fell this week. At present, the price of Tangshan billet is 3920 yuan, up 40 yuan from the same period last week. During the week Tangshan billet accumulated 40, concentrated in the early and middle of the week rose 70, the late week began to adjust a total of 40, business mentality is generally good, but the market is not hot, the operation of the overall shipment. Next week billet or consolidation.
帶鋼方面,截至今日唐山熱軋帶鋼(2.5*355mm)唐山瑞豐4140,相比上周漲10。本周,下游管廠及鍍鋅開工率持續(xù)高位,旺季采貨積極, 整體出貨情況較為可觀。但鋼市長強板弱格局延續(xù),熱卷受制造業(yè)萎縮壓制,價格承壓下行。目前板帶價差持續(xù)到掛,美聯(lián)儲加息預(yù)期推動黑色系期貨全面跳水,市 場再度陷入恐慌,價格出現(xiàn)回落。目前價格相對較高,下游接受有限,不愿輕易高位囤貨,所以操作多是隨行就市為主,由于下游管廠和貿(mào)易商對后市不看好,所以 多是按需拿貨,備貨意愿不強,原材料端價格持續(xù)上移,商家大多不愿議價惜售。后期帶鋼漲后回落,北方冬季來臨,下游需求逐步下降,加之鋼廠政策合適,所以 多以出貨為主,廠商多挺價操作,快進快出,當(dāng)下南北價差商家利潤空間狹窄,發(fā)貨積極性降低,多空博弈下,鋼坯依舊是支撐熱軋帶鋼價格的有利因素,預(yù)計下周 市場價格或繼續(xù)震蕩運行。管廠方面
As for the steel strip, as of today, Tangshan hot rolled strip (2.5*355mm) Tangshan Ruifeng 4140, up 10 compared to last week. This week, the downstream pipe mill and galvanizing operation rate continued to be high, active season picking, the overall shipment situation is considerable. However, steel mayor's strong plate and weak pattern continued, the hot coil was shrunk by the manufacturing industry, and the price was under pressure. Currently, the spread between the board and the belt continues to hang, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates to promote a full-scale dive in black futures, the market once again into panic, prices fell. At present, the price is relatively high, downstream acceptance is limited, reluctant to easily high hoarding, so the operation is mostly follow the market, because downstream pipe factories and traders are not optimistic about the future market, so mostly take goods on demand, the willingness to stock is not strong, raw material prices continue to move up, most businesses are reluctant to bargain. Later, the strip rose and fell back, the northern winter came, the downstream demand gradually declined, coupled with the appropriate policy of steel mills, so more shipments, manufacturers more stimulus operation, fast in and out, the current North-South price gap merchants profit space is narrow, shipment enthusiasm is reduced, multi-empty game, billet is still supporting hot-rolled strip prices Favorable factors are expected to continue to oscillate next week. Pipe factory
本周,津冀地區(qū)管廠出廠報價窄幅調(diào)整為主,整體偏謹慎。周初,受原料鋼坯價格小幅上調(diào)帶動,雖然幅度不大,但給鋼市傳遞信心,整體成交有所放量, 津冀地區(qū)大部分管廠出廠報價順勢上漲;但價格上漲以后,管廠反饋高價位成交受阻,尤其唐山地區(qū)運輸車輛難找也在一定程度上影響市場成交;周后期,管廠出廠 報價普遍報穩(wěn)為主,臨近周末小幅下調(diào),整體態(tài)度仍偏謹慎,成交較上周有所減少。本周,尚無重大利好或利空,現(xiàn)貨市場受期貨影響較明顯。另外,臨近周末唐山 鋼鐵企業(yè)秋冬季錯峰生產(chǎn)名單公示,但目前來看對市場暫無明顯影響。目前,廠內(nèi)原料和成品庫存均有所降低,對后期走勢仍有支撐。成本方面,以唐山地區(qū)為例, 目前主流管廠4寸焊管出廠報價為4390-4610元,與主導(dǎo)鋼廠355mm系列帶鋼出廠價相差200元之余,除去帶鋼廠的優(yōu)惠政策、管廠出貨時議價空間 以及其他各地原料運輸成本等各方面因素,目前管廠盈利空間尚可。
This week, the Jimi area's factory factory quotes are mainly narrow, and the whole is cautious. At the beginning of the week, driven by a slight increase in raw material billet prices, although not much, but to the steel market to pass confidence, the overall volume of trading, most of the Tianjin-Hebei region pipe factory ex-factory quotes rise; but after the price rise, pipe factory feedback high price transaction hindered, especially in Tangshan region transport vehicles difficult to find also to a certain extent. Affect the market transaction; Late week, the factory quotation generally stable, near the weekend slightly downward, the overall attitude is still cautious, transaction than last week decreased. This week, there is no significant positive or bad. The spot market is more affected by futures. In addition, near the weekend of Tangshan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. in autumn and winter staggered peak production list published, but at present look no obvious impact on the market. At present, the inventory of raw materials and finished products in the plant has been reduced, and there is still support for the latter trend. In terms of cost, taking Tangshan area as an example, the current 4-inch welded pipe ex-factory quotation of the mainstream pipe mill is 4390-4610 yuan, which is more than 200 yuan different from the 355mm series strip ex-factory quotation of the leading steel mill. In addition to the preferential policies of the strip mill, the bargaining space at the time of delivery of the pipe mill and other factors such as the transportation cost of raw materials in various parts of the country, the pipe mill is profitable at present. It is still possible.
監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)顯示,截至10月19日,唐山友發(fā)產(chǎn)4寸(3.75)新國標(biāo)焊管現(xiàn)金出廠價格為4390元,比上周同期漲20元;唐山京 華產(chǎn)4寸(3.75)新國標(biāo)焊管現(xiàn)金出廠價格為4420元,吉立(正大)產(chǎn)4寸(3.75)新國標(biāo)焊管現(xiàn)金出廠價格為4420元,比上周同期降20元。
Monitoring data show that as of October 19, Tangshan Youfa 4 inch (3.75) new national standard welded pipe cash ex-factory price is 4390 yuan, 20 yuan higher than the same period last week; Tangshan Jinghua 4 inch (3.75) new national standard welded pipe cash ex-factory price is 4420 yuan, Jili (Zhengda) 4 inch (3.75) new national standard welded pipe cash ex-factory price is 4420 yuan, compared with the same period last week Drop 20 yuan.
市場方面
本周,下游各市場焊管報價普遍以穩(wěn)為主,個別地區(qū)如成都、重慶等城市因當(dāng)?shù)馗魃碳腋偁帀毫^大,價格出現(xiàn)明顯下跌,成交一般。筆者從市場了解的情 況來看,目前各地區(qū)成交均不理想,其中東北地區(qū)由于天氣漸冷,大部分工程處于收尾階段,操作方面貿(mào)易商有意識削減庫存,其他地區(qū)也多維持較低庫存出貨為 主。據(jù)貿(mào)易商反饋,進入10月份以來, 十一 國慶節(jié)前后整體成交尚可,但中旬以來就成交不暢,多地有暗降操作,目前貿(mào)易商也普遍采取降庫存操作,大部分地區(qū)庫存較前期有所降低。
總的來看,傳統(tǒng) 金九銀十 只剩下10天左右的時間,從市場調(diào)查來看,不管是管廠庫存還是市場庫存均出現(xiàn)降低,整體基本面的支撐條件仍在。但是目 前來看市場情緒仍偏于悲觀,采暖季前的趕工也尚未完全啟動和釋放,后期市場需求能否持續(xù)跟進仍是個未知數(shù),因此后期鋼市或仍在反復(fù)震蕩中前行。下周國內(nèi)焊 管價格也將震蕩盤整運行。 標(biāo)簽:
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