全國方管市場價格走勢以漲為主中間商拿貨放緩

本周全國方管市場價格走勢以漲為主，其中華東、華南、華北、東北地區(qū)漲勢比較均衡，漲幅在30-80元/噸不等，而西南地區(qū)漲幅較大，幅度在 50-100元/噸。下面具體來看：周初開市，全國方管市場漲跌穩(wěn)并存，幅度在10-60元/噸，關(guān)聯(lián)期卷持紅上揚(yáng)，提振市場心態(tài)，商家堅挺出貨操作，但 首日運(yùn)行13%新稅率的商家則高位回落，然下游補(bǔ)貨心理趨強(qiáng)，交投氛圍尚可，進(jìn)入周中，全國方管市場穩(wěn)中偏強(qiáng)，幅度在10-60元/噸，期卷高開高走，現(xiàn) 貨市場信心向好，商家上調(diào)報價操作，但終端心態(tài)平穩(wěn)，多按需采買，低位成交情況尚可，臨近周末，全國方管市場偏強(qiáng)整理，幅度在10-40元/噸，期卷持續(xù) 利好，但臨近清明小長假，商家操作情緒不高，多選擇挺價觀望，然中間商拿貨放緩，整體成交氛圍表現(xiàn)一般。
This week, the price trend of the national square tube market is mainly rising. The rising trend in East, South, North and Northeast China is relatively balanced, ranging from 30-80 yuan/ton to 50-100 yuan/ton in Southwest China. The following specific points are as follows: at the beginning of the week, the rise and fall of the national square management market coexisted steadily, ranging from 10-60 yuan/ton, the correlation period rose sharply, boosting the market mentality and firming the operation of shipment, but on the first day, the businessmen with 13% new tax rate fell back at a high level. However, the downstream replenishment mentality became stronger and the delivery atmosphere was still acceptable. In the middle of the week, the national square management market was stable and strong, ranging from 10-60 yuan/ton. In the near weekend, the national square management market is relatively strong, ranging from 10 to 40 yuan/ton, and the period paper continues to be profitable, but in the near future, the business is not in a good mood for operation, so they often choose to wait and see at a good price. However, as the middleman picks up the goods slowly. The atmosphere of business is general.
本周滬熱卷主力1905開盤價3748，最高價3849，最低價3728，收盤價3846， 漲105，漲幅2.81%，成交1240902手。
This week, Shanghai hot coil main 1905 opening price 3748, the highest price 3849, the lowest price 3728, the closing price 3846, up 105, an increase of 2.81%, 1240902 hands.

本周熱卷期貨呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)上漲格局，日K線收4連陽。從技術(shù)指標(biāo)來看，日線圖K線突破BOLL上軌，KDJ高位鈍化，MACD紅柱放大；周線圖KDJ高位 金叉向上，MACD處于紅柱區(qū)間。綜合考慮，熱卷期貨各項指標(biāo)均偏多，但短期有漲幅過大跡象，因此預(yù)計下周熱卷期貨先漲后穩(wěn)，后半周不乏小幅技術(shù)性回調(diào)可 能，主要運(yùn)行區(qū)間3800-3900
Hot roll futures continued to rise this week, closing at 4 Lianyang on the K-line. In terms of technical indicators, the K-line breaks through BOLL, KDJ high passivation, MACD red pillar enlargement, and KDJ high gold fork upward, MACD is in the red pillar interval. Considering comprehensively, all the indexes of hot-roll futures are on the high side, but there are signs of excessive increase in the short term. Therefore, it is expected that hot-roll futures will rise first and then stabilize in the next week, and there will be a small technical callback in the second half of the week. The main operating range is 3800-3900.

后市來看，四月份是鋼材消費(fèi)傳統(tǒng)旺季，下游需求特別是基礎(chǔ)建設(shè)將保持高位波動，同時北方大規(guī)模的鋼鐵環(huán)保限產(chǎn)結(jié)束，原料市場有望止跌回升，但鋼鐵重鎮(zhèn)唐山等地將執(zhí)行非采暖季鋼鐵行業(yè)環(huán)保限產(chǎn)，預(yù)計四月份鋼材市場多空博弈，下周方管市場或震蕩偏強(qiáng)。
In the future, April is the traditional peak season of steel consumption, downstream demand, especially infrastructure, will remain high fluctuation. At the same time, the large-scale environmental production restriction of iron and steel in the north will end, and the raw material market is expected to stop falling and rebound. However, the iron and steel town Tangshan and other places will implement environmental production restriction of iron and steel industry in the non-heating season. It is expected that the steel market will play a multi-empty game in April, and the square tube market or shocks will be strong next week.

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