國(guó)內(nèi)方管市場(chǎng)價(jià)格或繼續(xù)承壓下行成交較不理想

本周方管市場(chǎng)價(jià)格震蕩下滑。進(jìn)入六月，方管市場(chǎng)明顯不如前幾月，一方面各類相關(guān)需求企業(yè)行業(yè)指數(shù)回落，需求逐步萎縮，而原料成本雖有支撐，但大勢(shì)已過。另一方面國(guó)內(nèi)及全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩，經(jīng) 濟(jì)壓力增大，雖方管行業(yè)有各地環(huán)保限產(chǎn)以及國(guó)家寬松政策支撐，但市場(chǎng)心態(tài)接近低迷，加上今年上半年鋼企持續(xù)積極的生產(chǎn)，資源上量，產(chǎn)能擴(kuò)張，整體而言對(duì)鋼 材行業(yè)尤為不利。目前，主導(dǎo)區(qū)域邯鄲、唐山、天津、江陰、樂從主流價(jià)格分別運(yùn)行在3760、3840、3760、3820、4110元左右，南北價(jià)差略有 擴(kuò)大，北方資源輻射范圍較之前亦略有擴(kuò)散，不過由于近期價(jià)格弱勢(shì)運(yùn)行，方管市場(chǎng)交投氛圍不活躍，成交較不理想。鋼廠層面，據(jù)蘭格網(wǎng)統(tǒng)計(jì)，本周津冀魯豫中板廠日 均中板產(chǎn)量6.45萬噸，產(chǎn)能利用率95%，周環(huán)比降1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，基本持平。從開工數(shù)據(jù)可以看出，北方中板廠各廠方管扎線基本仍保持滿產(chǎn)狀態(tài)，繼續(xù)高位 運(yùn)行。鎖價(jià)方面，本周主導(dǎo)鋼廠鎖價(jià)政策堅(jiān)挺運(yùn)行，對(duì)市場(chǎng)價(jià)格有一定支撐。不過，值得注意的是，當(dāng)前市場(chǎng)正向高溫多雨季過渡，后期淡季沖擊，終端用戶施工進(jìn) 度緩慢，下游用戶采購(gòu)減少，需求端承壓下滑，對(duì)方管市場(chǎng)價(jià)格不利，與此同時(shí)，板材需求亦不佳，價(jià)格或也會(huì)跟跌下滑。綜合而言，在空頭占優(yōu)的情況下，疊加端 午臨近，短期國(guó)內(nèi)方管市場(chǎng)價(jià)格或繼續(xù)承壓下行。

This week, the market price shocks and falls. Into June, the square tube market is obviously not as good as the previous months. On the one hand, the industry index of all kinds of related demand enterprises has fallen, and the demand has gradually shrunk, while the cost of raw materials has been supported, but the trend has passed. On the other hand, domestic and global economic growth has slowed down and economic pressures have increased. Although the square pipe industry is supported by local environmental protection and production restrictions as well as national relaxation policies, the market mentality is approaching a downturn. In addition, the continuous positive production of steel enterprises in the first half of this year, the increase of resources and capacity, as a whole, is particularly disadvantageous to the steel industry. At present, the mainstream prices of Handan, Tangshan, Tianjin, Jiangyin and Lecong in the dominant regions are running at around 3760, 3840, 3760, 3820 and 4110 yuan respectively. The price gap between North and South has expanded slightly, and the radiation scope of resources in the North has also spread slightly. However, due to the recent weak price operation, the trading atmosphere in the market is not active and the transaction is not satisfactory. At the level of steel mill, according to the statistics of Lange Net, the average daily production of medium plate in Jinji, Shandong and Henan Medium Plate Mills this week is 64.5 million tons, the productivity utilization rate is 95%, and the ratio of circumference to circumference decreases by 1 percentage point, which is basically flat. From the start-up data, it can be seen that the pipeline tied up by the factories in the North Medium Plate Plant is still in full production and continues to operate at a high level. In terms of lock-in price, this week dominated the firm operation of lock-in price policy for steel mills, which has certain support for market prices. However, it is noteworthy that the current market is transitioning to high temperature and rainy season, with late off-season shocks, slow construction progress of end-users, reduced procurement of downstream users, declining pressure on the demand side, which is not conducive to the market price of the other side. At the same time, the demand for sheet metal is not good, and the price may also fall with it. Generally speaking, in the case of short-term dominance, with the Dragon Boat Festival approaching, the short-term domestic mid-plate market prices may continue to decline under pressure.

價(jià)格方面：截至6月6日，國(guó)內(nèi)重點(diǎn)城市16-25mm普板均價(jià)3945元(噸價(jià)，下同)，較上個(gè)交易日跌10元，較上周同期跌56元，較上月同期跌140元。

Price: As of June 6, the average price of 16-25mm board in key cities in China was 3945 yuan (ton price, the same below), 10 yuan lower than the previous trading day, 56 yuan lower than the same period last week, 140 yuan lower than the same period last month. 

方管