杭州方管市場價格或弱勢震蕩運(yùn)行成交表現(xiàn)不差

杭州方管市場價格大幅上漲，截至9月6日，杭州方管批量成交指導(dǎo)價格：沙鋼 Φ8-10mm高線為4050元,比上周同期漲60元，中天Φ12mm三級螺紋鋼為3860元，比上周同期漲70元；中天Φ25mm三級螺鋼為3700 元，比上漲同期漲70元。永鋼Φ8-10mm三級盤螺為4050元，比上漲同期漲60元。周一，期螺反彈，市場成交好轉(zhuǎn)，方管廠家開始試探性上漲，成交表現(xiàn)不差，方管廠家信心再次受鼓舞，借勢繼續(xù)拉漲報價。周二周三，限產(chǎn)消息密集發(fā)布，鋼坯、 期螺繼續(xù)震蕩向上，不過市場在價格不斷上漲后，成交較為冷清，方管廠家在上調(diào)節(jié)奏上有所放慢，周四，隨著天氣轉(zhuǎn)晴，成交放量，價格維持小幅上行態(tài)勢，周五，隨 著期貨掉頭向下，現(xiàn)貨市場失去了有力支撐，價格下行，成交又有所回落。

The market price of Hangzhou square pipe has risen sharply. As of September 6, the guiding price of Hangzhou square pipe volume transaction: Shagang 8-10mm high line is 4050 yuan, 60 yuan higher than the same period last week, Zhongtian 12mm third-grade thread steel is 3860 yuan, 70 yuan higher than the same period last week; Zhongtian 25mm third-grade screw steel is 3700 yuan, 70 yuan higher than the same period. Yonggang 8-10mm three-stage snail is 4050 yuan, up 60 yuan over the same period. On Monday, snails rebounded and market turnover improved. Square tube manufacturers began to rise tentatively. The trading performance was not bad. Square tube manufacturers'confidence was once again encouraged and their quotations continued to rise. On Tuesday and Wednesday, the news of production restriction was released intensively. Billets and snails continued to oscillate upwards. However, after rising prices, the turnover was relatively cold and the square tube manufacturers slowed down their upward regulation. On Thursday, with the weather clearing up, the volume of turnover, prices maintained a slight upward trend. On Friday, with futures turning downwards, The spot market has lost its strong support, prices have gone down and transactions have fallen back. 消息面，本周唐山環(huán)保限產(chǎn)文件密集發(fā)布，武安、遷安、豐南相繼公布九月停限產(chǎn)方案，制定了各鋼企停限產(chǎn)措施，限產(chǎn)力度相較八月相比有所加強(qiáng)，中美 貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)方面也傳出利好消息，將與美國繼續(xù)磋商，5日商務(wù)部發(fā)言：認(rèn)為應(yīng)該討論的問題是取消對5500億美元中國商品進(jìn)一步加征關(guān)稅，防止貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)繼續(xù)升級。 中方正就此與美方進(jìn)行嚴(yán)正交涉。接下來金融委再發(fā)聲!6天3次重磅會議，加大逆周期調(diào)節(jié)力度，下大力氣疏通貨幣政策傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制，加強(qiáng)金融與財政政策配合。宏 觀層面整體趨向利好。

News, this week Tangshan environmental protection production restriction documents were issued intensively, Wu'an, Qian'an and Fengnan announced the September production restriction plan successively, formulated various steel enterprises production restriction measures, the capacity of production restriction has been strengthened compared with August, the Sino-US trade war has also spread good news, will continue to consult with the United States, 5, the Ministry of Commerce said: The issue to be discussed is to abolish further tariffs on 550 billion US dollars of Chinese goods and prevent the escalation of the trade war. China is making rigorous representations with the United States in this regard. Next, the Finance Committee will make another announcement. At three heavy meetings in six days, we will intensify counter-cyclical adjustment, make great efforts to dredge the transmission mechanism of monetary policy and strengthen the coordination of financial and fiscal policies. At the macro level, the overall trend is good.

庫存方面：本周杭州方管庫存78.02萬噸：較前期整體庫存降1.73萬噸：線材3.59萬噸，螺紋鋼74.43萬噸

Inventory: Hangzhou square pipe inventory 782,000 tons this week: 173,000 tons lower than the previous overall inventory: wire rod 359,000 tons, rebar 744,300 tons

原材料方面：6日午后唐山、昌黎方坯資源穩(wěn)，現(xiàn)普碳方坯含稅出廠3380。較上周同期漲80.

Raw materials: 6 pm Tangshan, Changli billet resources stable, now ordinary carbon billet with tax 3380. It is 80% higher than the same period last week.

總體來看，雖然環(huán)保和宏觀利好帶來了一定的市場熱度和降低了一定的庫存壓力，不過目前唐山限產(chǎn)雖在趨嚴(yán)，但限產(chǎn)力度仍不及市場預(yù)期，而隨著鋼廠利 潤回升，鋼廠主動限產(chǎn)意愿不強(qiáng)，庫存總量仍然偏大。再加上中美貿(mào)易談判仍有不確定性，預(yù)計下周杭州方管市場價格或弱勢震蕩運(yùn)行。

Overall, although environmental protection and macro-economic benefits have brought about certain market heat and reduced inventory pressure, Tangshan's current production restriction is getting stricter, but the capacity of production restriction is still less than market expectations. With the rebound of steel mill profits, the willingness of steel mill to actively limit production is not strong, and the total inventory is still on the high side. In addition, uncertainties remain in the Sino-US trade negotiations, and it is expected that next week Hangzhou will be in charge of market prices or weak shocks.

方管